Gold bugs seize on “dovish” Fed minutes, price rises

The three year gold price graph puts bullion's latest action into perspective
The three year gold price graph puts bullion’s latest action into perspective

It’s been a horrible couple years for the gold price as our graph on the right illustrates. But ever so slowly, hope is returning to battered bullion. Right now the metal’s supporters are focusing on the re-emergence of inflation, betting the US Fed will delay the necessary interest rate hikes for too long. So anything to support this view in the minutes of US Fed meetings is seized upon by gold bugs. On a broader perspective, though, the right time to buy anything is when the price has fallen a long way. On that score, gold (and shares i the companies that mine it) certainly quality. – Alec Hogg 

By Marcy Nicholson and Jan Harvey

NEW YORK/LONDON, May 20 (Reuters) – Gold rose on Wednesday, briefly climbing to a new session high as the dollar pared its gains after U.S. Federal Reserve minutes showed policy makers believed it would be premature to raise interest rates in June.

Many officials at the Fed’s April policy meeting believed that a bump in inflation was being offset by a weaker labor market and softer data, according to minutes from the meeting released on Wednesday.

Spot gold was up 0.3 percent at $1,211.06 an ounce at 2:48 p.m. EDT (1848 GMT), after climbing 0.5 percent to a session high at $1,213.36 after the Fed minutes were released.

U.S. gold futures for June delivery settled up $2 at $1,208.70 an ounce.

“A close reading of the April minutes shows the committee remains extraordinarily cautious regarding a rate liftoff given members’ emphasis on the first-quarter slowdown,” said Tai Wong, director of base and precious metals trading for BMO Capital Markets in New York.

“The bar remains quite high for an interest rate move and it appears quite unlikely that it will happen before September if even then.”

Wong added that this should be positive for metals and bonds, and negative for the dollar.

“The dollar and the euro seem to be the direction setters,” Afshin Nabavi, head of trading at MKS in Switzerland, prior to the release of the Fed minutes.

“This morning gold looked like it was going to break below $1,200, but held well, though it cannot really rally. It feels like $1,200-$1,215 (is the range) for the short term.”

Gold’s firm session comes after it slid sharply on Tuesday.

Gold prices have struggled to break out of a $1,170-$1,230 an ounce range since mid-March, hamstrung by uncertainty over the timing of an expected rise in U.S. interest rates.

Rising rates tend to weigh on gold because they increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion while boosting the dollar, in which it is priced.

Monday’s drop in holdings of SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, to a four-month low of 718.24 tonnes also pointed to cautious investor sentiment.

Appetite for physical gold was lackluster in Asia, dealers said.

Among other metals, silver gained 0.7 percent to $17.16 an ounce after falling 3.6 percent on Tuesday, its biggest one-day slide in three months. Platinum was up 0.5 percent at $1,158.70 an ounce and palladium down 0.1 percent at $774 an ounce.

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