Inflation climbs to 18 month high; all eyes turn to Jan rate decision

By Gordon Bell

Lesetja Kganyago SARB
Lesetja Kganyago speaks during a news conference to unveil commemorative banknotes and coins in Pretoria. Photographer: Waldo Swiegers/Bloomberg

(Bloomberg) – South Africa’s inflation rate jumped to the highest level since May last year as surging transport costs continue to weigh on the economy.

Consumer prices rose 5.2% from a year earlier compared with 5.1% in October, Pretoria-based Statistics South Africa said in a statement Wednesday. The median estimate of 17 economists surveyed by Bloomberg was for 5.1%.

Key insights

  • The unexpected acceleration in inflation may ease criticism of the central bank’s decision to raise interest rates last month as the headline number moves further away from the mid-point of its target range.
  • Fuel prices had jumped 19% over the past 12 months after the rand weakened against the dollar, offsetting a decline in crude costs.
  • The Reserve Bank will decide again on rates on Jan. 17, with forward-rate agreements seeing a small chance of a 25 basis-point hike.
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