SA unlikely to sway Trump in his brinkmanship with China

CAPE TOWN — Knowing President Donald Trump’s global brinkmanship, particularly with China, a long time ideological and trading ally of South Africa’s, Trade Minister Rob Davies must be a little nervous. He’s waving a fistful of feathers at Trump, threatening to remove favourable US poultry concessions should SA become collateral damage in the USA’s trade war with China. Already steel and aluminium tariffs are hurting us, but if new US tariffs apply to the local automotive industry, the damage to a struggling economy already losing jobs hand over fist, will be major. One cannot help noticing the irony of how much former President Barack Obama helped South Africa’s budding young democracy by giving our farmers preferential access to US markets. Don’t expect such favours from President Donald Trump who regards China as the biggest threat to American global markets, never mind disagrees fundamentally with its ideology. He’ll take any supplication – or threats – from whence they come. – Chris Bateman

By Sam Mkokeli and Amogelang Mbatha

(Bloomberg) – South Africa has asked the US to not implement punitive tariffs that could make its economy collateral damage in the trade war with China, according to the nation’s Trade Minister Rob Davies.

“We are asking the US to back away and not to subject us to this,” said Davies in an interview in Bloomberg’s Johannesburg office on Tuesday. “We are collateral damage in a war you are fighting with someone else, in a war not of our making.”

Minister of Trade and Industry Rob Davies

South Africa has been hit by steel and aluminum tariffs and the detrimental effect could be exacerbated if they are extended to the automotive industry, which the minister said accounts for about 7 percent of South Africa’s economy. In response, the nation could remove US poultry concessions, though that is subject to a court application by South African producers and may not be a decision that is taken directly by government, Davies said in an interview with Bloomberg Television.

Farming goods

Local producers are putting pressure on the government to retaliate and place tariffs on imports of beef, poultry and pork from the US. In 2016, South Africa retained preferential access for its farming goods to the world’s biggest market under the African Growth and Opportunity Act after meeting benchmarks set by former US President Barack Obama to allow the import and sale of US meat products.

More than a third of US imports from South Africa in 2017 was covered by AGOA, with transportation equipment including cars and components being the biggest contributor.

Further tariffs on South African produced vehicles and components that are currently part of the AGOA deal would hurt the local manufacturing industry and lead to a job losses, Davies said. That may harden calls for South Africa to retaliate, he said.

“If you take out autos, iron and steel and you take out aluminium, what is the remaining value for us of AGOA,” he said. “This is not just a one-way street and our constituents will respond and who knows where that will take us.”