🔒 Premium: Double blow for Naspers – Tencent’s loses exponential status; Missfresh bust

CLICK HERE TO LISTEN TO YOUR EARLY MORNING UPDATE ON NEWS THAT MATTERSMarket holding above 200 day MA (just); Fed Minutes; Bad Chinese news for Naspers on Tencent, Food Delivery; Sibanye smacked despite Rand weakness


Some rough news this morning for owners of the most heavily weighted stock in the JSE indices. Although things are not quite so extreme since Naspers’s cap on selling shares in Tencent was lifted, its stake in the Chinese internet company remains the most important determinant of its valuation. So Naspers co-owners should pay attention to the news (see below) that the toxic cocktail of Beijing’s attack on business and Covid it really hurting Tencent. 

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For the first time since its listing in on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in 2004, TenCent reported a revenue reverse – its June quarter’s income fell 3% compared with the same three months of 2021. Ironically, traders expected even worse with the TenCent share price rising this morning. 

Share prices of exponential companies enjoy lofty ratings because spreadsheets compiled by research analysts bake-in continued expansion. When that changes, so do the formulas – and pretty soon the stock price returns to much lower valuations based on metrics applied to mature businesses. Witness Netflix’s fall from $600 to $200 a share.

Another blow for Naspers fans is news that China’s biggest food delivery company, Missfresh, has gone bust. Yesterday’s news wasn’t that big a surprise as the company’s shares had lost 99% of their value since listing in June last year. And Missfresh delivered groceries rather than fast food. Even so, it will remind investors that food delivery is one of Naspers’ big bets in its attempt to repeat the TenCent bonanza. And that bet looked dodgy even before the Missfresh demise.      

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