Official modelling of South Africa’s projected mortalities from Covid-19, which started at 375,000, was last week dropped to 40,000. But even that is a huge exaggeration says Nick Hudson, co-ordinator of the group of actuaries who collaborate under the PANDA umbrella. In this fascinating podcast Hudson explains why the official modellers have a lot to answer for, and calls on them to become transparent and share their assumptions – which he says are way off beam. – Alec Hogg
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