Speak to any South African Super Rugby coach and he will give a guarded response on how well his team is faring in the competition so far. The coaches are guarded not just because they’ve had one or more defeats which sting. They’re guarded because they know their teams haven’t been tested yet by the New Zealanders. The Bulls, Cheetahs and Stormers have showdowns looming against all five of the Kiwi franchises, with the Cheetahs and the Stormers playing three of those matches away from home. There was a lesson to be learnt from last season, where the Lions played New Zealand teams eight times. They won two of the five group stage matches, and two of the three playoff games – the quarter-final against the Crusaders and semi-final against the Chiefs. They lost in the final to the Hurricanes, but they were well-blooded by the time it came down to the business end of the competition. However, the Stormers faced no New Zealand teams in the group stage and were destroyed as soon as they got to the knockouts, going down 21-60 to the Chiefs. Rob Houwing weighs up the SA teams’ chances against their NZ rivals. – David O’Sullivan
By Rob Houwing
Played 12, won eight, lost four…it looks shipshape enough on paper, doesn’t it?
That is the scorecard in favour of South African teams over overseas-based opponents thus far in Super Rugby 2017.
But that acceptable win record of 66.6 percent is skewed by one rather pertinent fact: none of our franchises have yet run into a New Zealand team.
It’s not exactly a closely-guarded secret that teams from that country, which boasts the title-winners in four of the last five years, are hotly, collectively tipped to dominate once again this year – and early signs from this year’s competition only seem to enhance the likelihood.
That goes a long way to explaining why the South African challenge against teams from outside our borders looks more than credible at this point, approaching round five.
Three of those eight wins banked, it mustn’t be forgotten, have been against the humble Sunwolves from Japan – and even then, at least two weren’t convincing at all, by the Cheetahs and Bulls despite their home advantage in each instance. (Ironically the most clear-cut victory against them was arguably achieved by the much-maligned Kings, who prevailed 37-23 in Singapore.)
On a more positive note, the Lions have had very commanding wins at Emirates Airline Park over both the Waratahs and Reds from Australia, and the Sharks did bag one decent scalp on their short tour Down Under by pipping the Brumbies with a late try.
So the really genuine test of whether South African rugby has made any northward progress at all since the general annus horribilis of 2016 now looms large: the Bulls are first “lab rats” against NZ foes, if you like, when they take up arms against the Blues at Albany on Saturday (08:35).
For the little the 18-team overall table really matters these days, you would roughly brand it a mid-table sort of clash, as the effectively eighth-placed Blues (one win from four) entertain opponents in 12th (one win from three).
But when you consider that the once-mighty, Auckland-based side thrashed the Rebels in Melbourne first up, and then lost successive, taxing derbies against compatriots the Chiefs, Highlanders and Crusaders, you still get a powerful sense that they will be fairly clear favourites against the Bulls despite their mere 25 percent win record at this stage.
With the Bulls and Force (again at home) on their most immediate roster, the Blues will believe that significant improvement of their position is just a couple of wins away.
It will also be reasonably ominous, of course, if the currently second lowest-riding New Zealand team see off the three-time past champions convincingly, given that the next three weekends after that see the tournament pace-setting Chiefs (four wins from four, and a healthy 19 points) face three SA outfits in a row.
First come the Bulls, continuing their trek through the Land of the Long White Cloud, on April Fools’ Day (psst, fine occasion for a major Bulls upset?), and then the Mooloo Men travel themselves to South Africa, for successive matches against the Stormers and Cheetahs.
The Newlands match on April 8 may give us the best indication yet of whether the gap in standards between NZ and SA rugby remains painfully wide, or has narrowed at least a little, given the strong early showings of both sides.
It may well be an appealing meeting of unbeaten units, if the Chiefs (bye this weekend) have beaten the Bulls ahead of it and the Stormers emerge victorious against the Sunwolves in the latest round (Singapore) and then Cheetahs (Cape Town) respectively.
If nothing else, there should be a mightily good chance that the Stormers improve a great deal in scoreboard terms on what turned into their most embarrassing ordeal of the 2016 season – that 60-21 hiding at home to the Chiefs in a quarter-final.
They leaked eight tries on that unpalatable occasion as the Chiefs ran them off their feet – confirming, among other things, the superior conditioning of New Zealand players in many instances.
That particular gap may well have closed: most SA sides do seem in broadly better nick physically and stamina-wise than in 2016.
Just around the corner is the examination of whether our rugby skills and gumption levels are back on the mend as well…
Looming bilateral SA v NZ matches in Super Rugby, to end of April (home teams first):
Saturday: Blues v Bulls
April 1: Chiefs v Bulls
April 8: Stormers v Chiefs
April 15: Cheetahs v Chiefs
April 22: Crusaders v Stormers
April 28: Highlanders v Stormers
April 29: Cheetahs v Crusaders – Sport24
Source:Â http://www.sport24.co.za/Rugby/SuperRugby/bulls-stormers-approach-frying-pan-20170322
