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Bank-bashing by the Zuma ANC faction and its acolytes, including black business associations and the ANC Youth League, mysteriously became all the rage the moment Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan went FICA-fishing in the Gupta accounts. That seems to suggest that we’re witnessing a convenient broadening of the political assault for control of not only the nation’s coffers but perhaps its banks as well. All those aligned against Gordhan have hands that wash each other (to steal a Zulu saying). This is more like a final push by the socialist recidivists and their favoured business pals while Msholozi is still around, able to offer genial patronage and protection in the name of ideology and dismantling White Monopoly Capital. South Africa’s political incumbents could consign us to junk status and ensuing economic freefall, if the financial analysts below are correct. We’d love to be wrong, but this has all the hallmarks of a concerted, organised campaign. Using the psychological concept of projection, could Oakbay’s unsubstantiated court claims that Gordhan met with over 60 like-minded business and banking leaders, telling them that the Gupta wings “need to be clipped” reveal more about how the accuser’s mind works than have any real truth? It’s amazing how often threatened regimes, leaders or shady corporates pluck conspiracy plots out of thin air – currently it seems that every second day some Zuptoid somewhere is concocting one. The Hawks are actually probing Zuptoid claims that a clique of white SAA pilots plotted to bring down a commercial flight captained by a black colleague. Read that in the context of the strong enmity between SAA CEO (and Zuma ‘close-friend’), Dudu Myeni and the SAA Pilots Association. Or how about assassination plots attributed to people whom, first Mbeki, and then Zuma felt threatened by – make your own list, it’s endless. – Chris Bateman
By Renee Bonorchis, Colin McClelland and Mike Cohen
(Bloomberg) – New allegations by President Jacob Zuma’s supporters that South Africa’s biggest banks are frustrating efforts to address racial inequality signal an escalation of a battle for control of the nation’s financial system including the Treasury.
Protestors from the ruling African National Congress’s youth wing invaded a Barclays Africa Group Ltd. branch on Jan. 26. Then, on Monday, the ANC’s top leaders said the four biggest lenders can’t be allowed to continue dominating the industry. These banks have refused to do business with companies linked to the Gupta family, who are in business with Zuma’s son.
The same day, Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan accused the Guptas of trying to undermine his ministry. He commented in court papers filed to rebut the family’s call for him to force banks to reopen accounts of businesses they control that the lenders closed last year because of allegedly suspicious transactions. The Guptas say there’s no evidence to justify the closure.
“Partly this is related to various factions within the ANC trying to pressure the banks politically in retaliation to the banks’ actions against the Guptas and their related entities last year,” said Rowan Williams, director of Nitrogen Fund Managers in Johannesburg with R1.4 billion ($104 million) under management.
The criticisms of the banks and Gordhan risk eroding confidence in the financial-services industry, which is the largest in the R4.3 trillion economy, if real estate companies are included in the same category. Concern the banks may face increased political scrutiny are weighing on stocks. The nation’s six-member banks index is down 4.5 percent this year, the most among the local bourse’s major indexes.
The fight over the financial system is intensifying as Zuma, 74, prepares to step down as ANC leader in December.
“The truth that stands revealed as the real plot is the systematic and highly organized campaign by the Gupta family and its associates against the National Treasury, myself and other targets,” Gordhan said in the court papers.
That charge was refuted by Oakbay Investments, a company controlled by the Guptas
“The affidavit is a case of reverse victim syndrome. The applicant proactively came after us and smeared our name,” the company said by e-mail. “We look forward to clearing our name in Court.”
Zuma’s relationship with the Guptas, who he’s described as his friends, has sparked a series of controversies over how much clout they wield in the government. The nation’s graft ombudsman implied in a report last year that Zuma allowed the Gupta family to influence cabinet appointments and the awarding of state contracts. Zuma and the Guptas deny any wrongdoing.
The Guptas have alleged that the lenders, including Standard Bank, Barclays Africa, FirstRand Ltd. and Nedbank Group Ltd., colluded when they decided to close their accounts. The banks deny the accusation.
The racial makeup of the banks’ leaders has made the industry a target for politicians. Of the five biggest lenders, which together control about 90 percent of the local banking market, only Standard Bank has a black co-chief executive officer, and he has a white counterpart, while the rest are all headed by whites.
The ANC Youth League, in a statement on Jan. 18, accused the central bank of protecting lenders that they say use credit-risk assessments to prejudice young blacks by saddling them with high interest rates.
Uncertainty over the financial system heightened in December 2015 when Zuma unexpectedly fired Nhlanhla Nene as finance minister and replaced him with a little known lawmaker. That sent bank stocks into a tailspin when they lost about R155 billion in value over two days, the most on record, and weakened the rand. Four days later, under pressure from ANC and business leaders, including bank CEOs, Zuma named Gordhan to the post.
Since then Zuma and Gordhan have feuded over the management of state-owned companies and the affordability of a proposed nuclear power expansion.
Gordhan has spearheaded South Africa’s efforts to keep its investment-grade rating and is seen by international investors as a steady hand to guide the economy. The Treasury’s pledge to keep spending under control and limit debt was cited as crucial for S&P Global Ratings and Fitch Ratings to avoid a cut to junk.
Drawing the banks into the political arena could be risky for the country, according to Patrice Rassou, head of equities at Sanlam Investment Management in Cape Town.
“Bank bashing has become a popular sport and yet a sound financial system is key to ensure the economy remains on a firm footing,” he said.
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