🔒 Premium: Thanks Kokkie – Absa’s 18% in six weeks a handsome return, with more to come

CLICK HERE TO LISTEN TO YOUR EARLY MORNING UPDATE ON NEWS THAT MATTERSOil price drops sharply as China admits economic woes; US market’s run continues into the new week; SA banks firm up in sympathy with strong Absa results; Rand’s rally runs out of puff.


In mid-June, Kokkie Kooyman referred me to a note he sent to Denker Capital clients extolling the attraction of banking shares. It came hard on the heels of my having been impressed by Absa’s new CEO, whom I met in Davos. After crunching the numbers, Absa was duly added to the BizNews model share portfolio at the June 28 webinar.

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We paid R159.35, which is turning out to have been an excellent entry level. The price has firmed up recently in anticipation of interim results to end June. They closed 1% higher at R188.25 yesterday following the release of those numbers. That’s a healthy 18% return in six weeks.

I caught up with our favourite banking analyst yesterday to hear what he thought of Absa’s interims. Kokkie was upbeat, reckoning that under low profile CEO Arrie Rautenbach and his team, Absa is now the ‘best of the rest’ behind FirstRand in SA commercial banking (ie excluding Capitec).

Despite the share price bump since end-June, Kooyman says there’s plenty of upside for the Absa’s share price. His prediction: 50% higher in two years. Not counting the likely boost from a post-2024 Election business-friendly coalition government (click here).

More for you to read today: 

The new management team at Absa continue to impress SA’s top banking analyst, Kokkie Kooyman of Denker Capital. The bank’s interim results for the half year to end June positions Absa as ‘the best of the rest’ behind market leading FirstRand, about as impressive an accolade as CEO Arrie Rautenbach could ask for. A strong profit increase, expanding market share, a solid balance sheet and a favourable cycle positions Absa shares for further gains – in Kooyman’s opinion, around 50% upside over the next two years. He spoke to Alec Hogg of BizNews.

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