Strike 3: SABMiller board rejects £65bn AB InBev bid, still too low

Third time lucky? Not so for AB InBev, which has seen another bid for SABMiller rejected by the board. In the shortened statement below, SABMiller’s board unanimously rejects the GBP42.15 per share offer ($104 billion). The group believes the bid still substantially undervalues SABMiller. The ball is back in AB InBev’s court. – Stuart Lowman

SABMiller media release

The Board of SABMiller has now met formally to consider the new proposal announced by AB InBev today (the “GBP 42.15 Proposal” as defined in the announcement by SABMiller earlier today). The Board, excluding the directors nominated by Altria Group Inc., has unanimously rejected the GBP 42.15 Proposal as it still very substantially undervalues SABMiller, its unique and unmatched footprint, and its standalone prospects.

Read also: From the FT: SABMiller board divided over AB InBev’s £65bn takeover proposal

This statement is being made by SABMiller without the prior agreement or approval of AB InBev.

A bartender serves a beer produced by brewing company SAB Miller at a bar in Cape Town, September 16, 2015. SABMiller has rejected Anheuser-Busch InBev's approach about a takeover that would form a brewing colossus producing a third of the world's beer. A merged group would have a market value of around $275 billion (£177 billion) at current prices, and would combine AB InBev's dominance of Latin America with SABMiller's dominance in Africa, both fast-growing markets, as well as their breweries in Asia. REUTERS/Mike Hutchings
A bartender serves a beer produced by brewing company SAB Miller at a bar in Cape Town, September 16, 2015. SABMiller has rejected Anheuser-Busch InBev’s approach about a takeover that would form a brewing colossus producing a third of the world’s beer. REUTERS/Mike Hutchings

By Phil Serafino and Thomas Buckley

(Bloomberg) — SABMiller Plc rejected Anheuser-Busch InBev NV’s 65.2-billion pound ($99.7 billion) takeover proposal as too low, putting it in conflict with its biggest shareholder, which urged the brewer to support the overture.

AB InBev’s approach, made public Wednesday after two weeks of closed-door discussions, raises the stakes in the back-and- forth battle over combining the world’s two largest beermakers. A merger would create a beverage empire controlling the No. 1 or 2 positions in 24 of the world’s 30 biggest beer markets, according to Exane BNP Paribas.

As with the previous offers from the maker of Budweiser, this one had two tiers: AB InBev would pay 42.15 pounds a share in cash for a majority of the stock. The price is 44 percent above London-based SABMiller’s closing level on Sept. 14, the day before renewed speculation about a deal, AB InBev said in a statement Wednesday. AB InBev proposes paying a lower price, 37.49 pounds a share, in cash and stock for the stakes held by SABMiller’s two biggest shareholders.

“This is not, in our view, intended as ABI’s concluding proposal,” said James Edwardes Jones, an analyst at RBC Capital Markets. “But it is likely to put pressure on SAB’s management to engage and at least there is now a formal proposition to discuss.”

SABMiller’s largest shareholder, Altria Group Inc., with a 27 percent stake, said in a statement that it supported the approach. Altria urged SABMiller’s board to engage “promptly” with AB InBev.

SABMiller rose 1.1 percent to 36.60 pounds at 1:40 p.m. in London. AB InBev gained 1.8 percent to 99.86 euros.

Previous Offers

SABMiller, the world’s No. 2 beermaker, has already rejected two proposals made privately of 38 pounds a share and 40 pounds a share, it said. Under U.K. takeover law, Leuven, Belgium-based AB InBev has until Oct. 14 to make a formal offer or it must walk away, and if it doesn’t bid it can’t renew its takeover effort for six months.

SABMiller’s board, excluding representatives of Altria, said in a statement Wednesday that the proposal “substantially undervalues” the brewer.

“We continue to work towards a recommended transaction, it’s just that after a couple weeks trying the private route we didn’t get any meaningful engagement from the board and with the deadline approaching we felt it was important for SABMiller shareholders to understand the compelling opportunity and look at our proposal,” AB InBev Chief Executive Officer Carlos Brito said on a conference call.

Emerging Markets

SABMiller can create more value by remaining independent and pursuing growth in emerging markets such as Africa and Latin America, the company said.

“AB InBev needs SABMiller but has made opportunistic and highly conditional proposals, elements of which have been deliberately designed to be unattractive to many of our shareholders,” SABMiller Chairman Jan du Plessis said in a statement earlier Wednesday, while the company was still reviewing the proposal. “AB InBev is very substantially undervaluing SABMiller.”

After years of speculation, the approach was hastened by the impact of slowing economies in the emerging markets of China and Brazil and after a decade of consolidation in the industry eliminated smaller targets. A 20 percent drop in SABMiller shares in the months preceding AB InBev’s approach and the prospect of an end to cheap credit also served as catalysts.

Brewers face their biggest challenge in half a century as consumers shift from mid-range mass-produced beers either to premium, microbrew or discount products, McKinsey & Co. analysts said in a report in June.

Tax Savings

Under the cash-and-stock alternative, shareholders owning 41 percent of SABMiller could opt for the lower payout. While accepting some stock would reduce the tax hit that would come from selling for cash, it also lowers the price that AB InBev would have to pay.

A formal offer is conditional on Altria and SABMiller’s second-largest shareholder, the family of Colombian investor Alejandro Santo Domingo, accepting the partial share alternative, AB InBev said. Those two investors own just less than 41 percent.

AB Inbev’s Brito said the company’s proposal was crafted with input from BevCo Ltd., the Santo Domingo family holding company. It owns a 14 percent stake in SABMiller. AB Inbev doesn’t have the support of Bevco, the potential acquirer said in a statement.

World Domination

The transaction would be the biggest of 2015 — already a bumper year for dealmaking — and among the largest takeovers ever, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Together, AB InBev and SABMiller would outrank all other consumer-staples companies by earnings, according to the Exane BNP Paribas analysts, who estimate the combined company would make $25 billion before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization in 2016.

Lazard Ltd. and Freshfields Bruckhaus Deringer LLP are advising AB InBev on its potential bid. SABMiller is being advised by Robey Warshaw LLP, JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Morgan Stanley.

Acknowledging that a deal would face antitrust scrutiny, AB InBev said the two companies’ businesses have complementary geographic footprints, and it would work with authorities to win the needed regulatory approvals.

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