GOP retreats on marriage equality as conservative backlash gains steam

Key topics:GOP support for same-sex marriage drops from 55% (2021) to 41% (2024)Conservative backlash targets LGBTQ rights, culture, and corporate supportSome GOP leaders push to overturn Obergefell, mirroring Roe v. Wade strategy.Sign up for your early morning brew of the BizNews Insider to keep you up to speed with the content that matters. The newsletter will land in your inbox at 5:30am weekdays. Register here.Support South Africa’s bastion of independent journalism, offering balanced insights on investments, business, and the political economy, by joining BizNews Premium. Register here.If you prefer WhatsApp for updates, sign up to the BizNews channel here.The auditorium doors will open for BNIC#2 on 10 September 2025 in Hermanus. For more information and tickets, click here..By Nia-Malika Henderson.June marks LGBTQ Pride Month, a time of celebratory parades, parties and rainbow-drenched gatherings all across the country. This month also marks the 10th anniversary of the Obergefell v. Hodges decision - the landmark US Supreme Court ruling that legalized same-sex marriage in every state. That case, which included several same-sex couples - some with children - ushered in an increased acceptance, visibility, and frankly, comfort level among members of the LGBTQ community and their families. In subsequent years, the support for marriage equality ticked up among all groups, most starkly among Republicans who for years ran as defenders of traditional marriage, supporting only unions between one man and one woman.The trend saw Republican support reach 55% in May of both 2021 and 2022 - a peak, and up from 37% in May 2015 - according to a Gallup poll tracking the party’s alignment with same-sex marriage. But something has shifted in the last few years. As happens with social progress, there has been a concerted and successful backlash to LGBTQ equality, driven by conservatives. Gallup found a clear erosion in support of same-sex marriage among Republicans, with only 41% supporting it today, a 14-point drop in just three years. That decrease dovetails with findings that only 38% of Republicans now say same-sex relations are morally acceptable, down from 56% in 2022.Overall, 68% of Americans support same-sex marriage, including 88% of Democrats and 76% of independents. The path to that level of acceptance took nearly 30 years - in 1996, when Gallup began tracking, only 27% of US adults approved. But the fight, of course, for LGBTQ equality has stretched far beyond three decades - a struggle marked by courage and persistence. Any sign of backtracking threatens to deny LGBTQ Americans and their families “equal dignity in the eyes of the law,” to quote Justice Anthony Kennedy, who wrote the Obergefell decision. .The downward trend in support should come as no surprise. The war on “woke” specifically targeted LGTBQ people, and not just transgender girls who want to play sports. Gay people, their history, traditions, status and culture have been targeted for erasure, whether in the form of book bans or attacks on drag queen story hour. The Department of Defense erased images that contained “gay” as a keyword in an effort to purge any trace of diversity, equality and inclusion (DEI). Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth reportedly plans to strip gay civil rights leader and Navy veteran Harvey Milk’s name from a ship. Companies such as Target Corp, once willing to dedicate parts of their stores to Pride merchandise, began a retreat last year fearful of conservative backlash. And several companies scaled back or declined to renew their sponsorship of Pride events this year, as my colleague Beth Kowitt wrote. .Buoyed by the overturning of Roe v. Wade, the Southern Baptist Convention voted earlier this month to legally fight to end same-sex marriage, putting the weight of the nation’s largest Protestant denomination behind the effort. Conservative legislators in at least four states, including Michigan and Montana, are pressing the Supreme Court to revisit same-sex marriage, passing resolutions that argue the issue should be left up to states. The case of Kim Davis - a Kentucky court clerk who refused to issue a gay couple a marriage license over religious grounds - could make its way to the Supreme Court. A Christian legal group, Liberty Counsel, plans to ask the court to hear her case with the aim of overturning Obergefell, which was decided 5-4.“At least three sitting Supreme Court Justices (which includes Chief Justice Roberts) expressly wrote that the Obergefell opinion has no basis in the Constitution, meaning we have an excellent chance of overturning the case!,” wrote Mat Staver, founder and chairman of the group, in a fundraising letter. In his 2022 concurring opinion in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization, Justice Clarence Thomas wrote that the court, now dominated by conservatives, should reconsider its prior rulings on same-sex marriage, given that the related case law was built on the same arguments that supported abortion rights. In response, Congress passed the Respect for Marriage Act a few months later, which requires that states recognize same-sex marriages performed in other states.What that law doesn’t do is require every state to conduct same-sex ceremonies, or explicitly establish marriage as a fundamental right. Conservatives worked for decades to overturn the right to abortion by backing dozens of cases that slowly chipped away at choice, creating a patchwork of laws, some draconian, state by state. Nearly two dozen states have now banned or severely restricted abortion. Conservatives have signaled they want a similar fight to overturn marriage equality. This time, liberals and supporters of LGBTQ rights should take them seriously and fight accordingly to protect marriage as a fundamental right for all. © 2025 Bloomberg L.P.

GOP retreats on marriage equality as conservative backlash gains steam

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