Gold and silver surge to record highs as debasement trade accelerates

Key topics:Gold and silver hit record highs as investors flee bonds, currencies, and riskWeaker dollar, dovish Fed bets, and debasement trade fuel precious metals rallyGeopolitical tensions and liquidity strains raise volatility and reversal risks.Sign up for your early morning brew of the BizNews Insider to keep you up to speed with the content that matters. The newsletter will land in your inbox at 5:30am weekdays. Register here.Support South Africa’s bastion of independent journalism, offering balanced insights on investments, business, and the political economy, by joining BizNews Premium. Register here.If you prefer WhatsApp for updates, sign up to the BizNews channel here..By Yihui Xie.Gold surged to a record above $5,500 an ounce, extending a breakneck rally fuelled by a weaker dollar and investor flight from sovereign bonds and currencies to a ninth day.Bullion jumped as much as 3.3%, building on a 4.6% leap in the previous session – the biggest one-day gain since the height of the Covid-19 pandemic in March 2020. Precious metals have risen dramatically this year on heightened geopolitical tensions and worries about the independence of the Federal Reserve, which have supported the debasement trade. Silver also hit an all-time high above $120 an ounce on Thursday.Gold’s recent surge “reflects a rare alignment of forces rather than a single catalyst,” said Christopher Hamilton, head of client solutions for Asia-Pacific ex-Japan at asset manager Invesco Ltd. “The speed with which gold is breaking milestones underscores how quickly confidence in traditional policy tools is eroding.”.Spot gold has risen by nearly 30% this year and silver by around two-thirds, in a rapid acceleration of multiyear bull runs. The extent and longevity of the rise has gradually constrained banks’ ability to take positions, reducing liquidity and raising volatility, said Simon Biddle, head of precious metals at broker Tullet Prebon, part of TP ICAP Group.“Banks don’t have infinite balance sheets to trade precious metals,” he said. “Trading volumes have decreased as they are taking less risk.”The latest move higher came as traders looked beyond the Fed’s widely expected decision on Wednesday to leave interest rates unchanged and ramped up bets on a dovish policy shift, which would benefit non-yielding precious metals. BlackRock Inc.’s Rick Rieder — an advocate for more aggressive rate cuts — has emerged as a top contender to replace Jerome Powell as Fed chair later this year..The debasement trade is also driving gold, with last week’s massive selloff in the Japanese bond market the latest example of concerns over heavy fiscal spending. Speculation the US may intervene to support the yen has weighed on the dollar, making precious metals cheaper for most buyers.US President Donald Trump said this week he was not concerned about a drop in the dollar that dragged the world’s premier reserve currency to its weakest level in nearly four years, although Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent later said the administration supports a stronger currency and ruled out intervention to sell the dollar against the yen.The White House’s actions — threats to annex Greenland and military intervention in Venezuela — have unsettled markets in recent weeks. The US warned Iran on Wednesday to make a nuclear deal or face military strikes, and in recent days has threatened both South Korea and Canada with additional trade tariffs.“Gold and silver are the ultimate safe-haven assets against extreme risk as geopolitical turbulence continues,” said Hao Hong, chief investment officer at Lotus Asset Management, and an influential Chinese commentator with a large social media following. “Gold is the anchor of all valuations: as long as gold rises, other precious metals will surge as well.”.Silver rose as much as 3.2%, its sixth straight day of gains. The white metal’s dramatic surge prompted CME Group to raise margins on Comex silver futures with effect from Wednesday’s close. In China — where prices have shot up beyond international benchmarks — the only pure-play silver fund turned away new investors while local authorities in Shenzhen set up a task force to oversee the operations of a gold-trading platform.Underlining the risks to precious metals, gold’s relative strength index spiked above 90 and silver’s was around 84. Readings above 70 typically signal the metal has been bought so heavily it could be due for a pause or pullback.What Bloomberg’s Strategists Say...“Gold’s near 30% rally this month and silver’s eye-popping 60%-plus spike have the two precious metals close to their steepest such rallies on record. The relentless momentum will be making traders concerned that these seemingly unsustainable surges will end with very ugly and sustained reversals.”— Garfield Reynolds, MLIV Asia Team Leader. Click here for the full analysis.Gold rose 2.5% to $5,549.93 an ounce as of 3:33 p.m. in Singapore, having earlier hit an all-time high of $5,595.47. Silver climbed 1.3% to $118.21 an ounce. Platinum and palladium advanced, while the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.2% on Thursday and was down 1.3% for the week..© 2026 Bloomberg L.P.

Gold and silver surge to record highs as debasement trade accelerates

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