Alec Hogg: ‘Nothing, not even tech stocks, keeps rising indefinitely’

Alec Hogg shares his rational perspective on the decline in tech shares, saying "last night's drop was overdue, especially after August's surge."
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Dependent on geography, over the past century share prices have appreciated on average by between 5% and 7% a year. So, rationally, after periods of significant outperformance we must expect the opposite – what investment professionals call "reversion to the mean".

After the spectacular price surge in global stocks since the trough in March, a "reversion" was overdue, especially in rocketing new economy counters whose vendors prefer a Nasdaq listing. We saw some of this last night. As the graphs below from our partners at the Wall Street Journal illustrate, shares opened weakly in New York and kept falling. Nasdaq doing worst of the three major indices, dropping a touch over 5%.

Indices only reflect the average performance by a basket of shares, so you need look deeper for the impact on retail investors' favourites, particularly recent share split beneficiaries Tesla (down 9%) and Apple (-8%). Prices of BizNews portfolio stalwarts Amazon, Microsoft, Netflix, Spotify and Adobe fell in line with Nasdaq.

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