🔒 Alec Hogg: Next move after Aus Govt blocks WBHO deal

WBHO

WBHO stands out like a sore thumb in the strongly performing BizNews Share portfolio: it is the only stock that currently trades below our entry level. The price fell sharply again this week on news Australia’s government blocked a proposed acquisition of WBHO’s Aus subsidiary Probuild “on grounds of national security”.

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Our original purchase of WBHO for the portfolio was based on the classic business principle of excess profits accruing to the last man standing when a previously hammered industry rebounds. The implosion of SA’s construction sector is well documented. Outside of WBHO, there’s now little left to talk of.
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The purchase of WBHO shares was also based on SA president Cyril Ramaphosa’s promise to make infrastructure invesment his driver to resuscitate the sluggish economy. After destruction wrought by Covid-19 – and unemployment now around 50% – this has become even more of an imperative.

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The Australian government’s reaction to a Chinese bid for Probuild, however, has given even WBHO’s biggest supporters pause. Whispers about the on-off status of a proposed deal (first disclosed in November) caused a share price whipsaw evident above. As Probuild delivers more than half WBHO’s revenues, the deal was transformative. For long-term investors, however, the appeal of a WBHO share price in the R80s is obvious. We aren’t selling. Neither should you.

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