The Economist: Why Donald Trump has moved ahead in our election forecast

With two weeks to go, the Republican candidate now has a slight lead

Published on:

22 Oct 2024, 9:25 am

With two weeks until the U.S. presidential election, Donald Trump has overtaken Kamala Harris in The Economist's forecast model, now holding a 54% chance of winning. His rise is driven by consolidation among Republican-leaning undecided voters. While Harris still has a 74% chance of winning the popular vote, Trump's advantage in key swing states makes the electoral college crucial. The race remains tight, with both candidates in a near deadlock.

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From The Economist, published under licence. The original article can be found on www.economist.com