From the FT: South Africa’s ANC on shaky ground as election looms

David Pilling of the Financial Times discusses the declining fortunes of the African National Congress (ANC) in South Africa, highlighting issues such as economic stagnation, corruption, and public dissatisfaction. Despite the ANC's prolonged stay in power since the end of apartheid in 1994, Pilling suggests that the party's fall is inevitable, emphasizing its loss of credibility and the upcoming general election as a crucial moment. The political spectrum is expanding, with smaller parties gaining traction, and the ANC's potential failure to secure a majority opens up possibilities for coalition scenarios, including alliances with both business-friendly and leftist parties. The article concludes with the acknowledgment that while many South Africans desire a change in leadership, the uncertainty about what follows complicates the likelihood of the ANC's imminent downfall.

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The ANC will inevitably fall — just not yet

By David Pilling of the Financial Times

Prospects of change are widening the political spectrum

A decade ago, a book came out in South Africa called The Fall of the ANC: What Next? Ten years later, the African National Congress is still in power. At next year's general election, which could be held as early as April, the ANC may well fail to clinch a majority for the first time since the end of apartheid in 1994. But liberation movements have staying power and it is unlikely to lose outright.

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