đź”’ Premium: Best investment book ever shines fresh light on EM tolerance of corruption

START YOUR MORNING BY LISTENING TO TODAY’S BIZNEWS BREAKFAST BRIEFING – Netflix loses subscribers, shares surge; Bitcoin booms; US equities jump most in a month; Piet Viljoen on when to sell; Kokkie Kooyman on what banks to buy; Brazilian Zuma favourite to win presidential election.


During a visit to London in May, our commercial director Clive Eksteen and I spent time with some fascinating people. A highlight was meeting fellow bookworm Anthony Garnett of Mundane Asset Management who pointed me at a book he said was the best on investment of the many he’d read.

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It was no easy task getting my hands on Engines That Move Markets by Alasdair Nairn. But it was worth the effort. Although having just dived in, I’m already indebted to Anthony for recommending this masterpiece. It not only explains ‘this time it’s different’ market booms and busts. But is a useful aid in better understanding emerging countries like ours. 

The most powerful theme of the UK and US’s canal and railways booms of the mid-1800s (in the early part of the book) was rampant corruption among public servants and their puppet masters. It was supported by the public’s ignorance or, perhaps, wilful amnesia. Those countries have come a long way in a century and a half. That doesn’t mean their lessons have been universally absorbed, nor replicated. 

Which provides useful context when seeing that Zweli ‘Digital Vibes‘ Mkhize is a serious contender for the ANC presidency. Or that his rival Cyril ‘Sofagate‘ Ramaphosa is brazening out his own financial crimes. And how in Brazil, Lula ‘jailed for corruption‘ da Silva is favourite to win the presidential race. Which doesn’t mean we have to accept it. Maybe, with enough effort, SA can indeed leapfrog the quagmire.   

More for you to read today: 

WATCH: With the ANC likely be sent to the sidelines by an angry electorate in 2024, the smart money is seeking opportuntities to profit from the economic rebound a business-friendly ruling coalition would give South Africa. In this podcast, Denker Capital director Kokkie Kooyman explains why long neglected banking shares would be among the biggest beneficiaries of this exciting prospect – and highlights a couple of names worth buying now. The globally respected banking sector investor speaks to Biznews’s Alec Hogg.

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