Trump trails Biden, but Democratic Party has work to do – Wall Street Journal

When I was running the world page at IOL in 2016, shortly before choosing to take a retrenchment package, I subbed any number of stories predicting the winner of the US election, and most people thought Hillary Clinton would prevail. The only report I remember reading that predicted the eventual Trump victory came from the Independent in London, and quoted English bookmakers as saying the Donald stood a good chance of winning, based on their interpretation of betting patterns. Ever since, I have read stories about US election polls with some scepticism, and have turned instead to the bookies for a dose of reality. The Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll examined in this article suggests that the 2020 result is still too close to call. A Google search for bookmakers' predictions suggests that Trump will beat Biden. But we still have nominating conventions to get through, and anything could happen. – Renee Moodie

Biden leads Trump, 50% to 41%, in poll ahead of party conventions

By John McCormick

President Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden start their nominating conventions this month with Mr Trump struggling to reach a level of job approval that would make re-election more likely and his challenger drawing soft support that could present turnout challenges, the latest Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll shows.

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