🔒 Boardroom Talk: SA’s slide away from full democracy continues; now ranks only 4th in Africa

By Alec Hogg

It’s been a supercharged start to 2023 for investment markets, with the JSE delivering more in January than in the whole of 2019, 2020, and 2020. Nasdaq, too, has been on a tear; although its double-digit rise in January pales compared with Bitcoin’s 41% bounce. But some context in the five-year graph below. Images courtesy of Kevin Lings, chief economist at Stanlib.  

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There are two ways of looking at South Africa’s showing in the latest Democracy Index by The Economist’s Intelligence Unit. On the one hand, it’s disappointing to witness another decline to 45th of the 165 independent states listed. On the other, at least among the half of humanity who live in a functional democracy.

In the last ten years, however, SA’s score has dropped from 7.9, fractionally below the index level which qualifies as a ‘Full Democracy”. We’re now down to 7.05 and solidly among the world’s “Flawed Democracies.” More disappointing, SA has dropped to only fourth of the 44th African countries surveyed, now well behind Mauritius (21st and the only ‘full democracy’), Botswana (32nd), and even Cape Verde (35th).

The index is based on the electoral process; functioning of government; political participation; political culture; and civil liberties. SA’s 7.05 average is dragged down by a score of just 5.0 on Political Participation, illustrating the challenge facing opposition parties as the 2024 Election approaches. 

“Overall,” the EIU notes, “the story is one of stagnation with the global average score unchanged….this is a dismal result given that in 2022 the world started to move on from the pandemic-related impression of individual liberties – 92 of the countries either stagnated or declined in terms of their index.” 

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