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CAPE TOWN — If you talk to professors of African history, they’ll tell you that there has never been a liberation movement in southern Africa that has willingly given up power through the ballot box. Or to quote Stalin; “It’s not the people who vote that count, it’s the people who count the votes.” Which is exactly the contention of Tendai Biti, Zimbabwe’s opposition People’s Democratic Party (PDP) leader, about the outcome of Monday’s elections. That supporters of his broad alliance, the Movement for Democratic Change (MDC), all believe this after prematurely triumphant leadership boasts is clear – in Harare teargas and live bullets are the order of the day. EU election observers tentatively cite pre-election bias of the state media, the party’s abuse of state resources and some voter intimidation. Biti says the entire thing was rigged and that their data shows Nelson Chamisa won 61% of the presidential election votes. He’s ducking challenges that he allegedly said that if the MDC lost they would make the country ungovernable, claiming, a bit like IFP leader, Chief Gatsha Buthelezi in the early 90’s, that he cannot control the spontaneous anger of his supporters. Story courtesy of the Daily Maverick. – Chris Bateman
By Peter Fabricius*
“We’re going to fight this,” Tendai Biti said grimly after the Zimbabwe Election Commission (ZEC) announced a landslide victory for the ruling Zanu-PF in Monday’s parliamentary elections.
“The fascists are trying to steal this election, but we won’t accept it,” said veteran opposition leader Biti, who is one of the co-leaders of the seven-party Movement for Democratic Change Alliance (MDC-Alliance) coalition which contested the presidential and parliamentary poll.
“Our data shows we have won by 61%; Nelson Chamisa has won 61% of the votes. If you win by this much in the presidential elections – for instance in Masvingo (province) where Chamisa won overwhelmingly but hardly won any parliamentary seats – something is wrong. People don’t vote for a presidential candidate of one party and not for the MPs of that party. So it’s called cheating.”
A few days before the election, Biti had vowed to make Zimbabwe “ungovernable” if the MDC-Alliance lost. On Wednesday, after the ZEC announced the alliance’s overwhelming (official) defeat in the parliamentary poll, Daily Maverick asked him what his party’s next move would be and whether and how it was going to make the country ungovernable.
“You can’t ask me. The people are already making the country ungovernable. The people are already on the streets. They are marching spontaneously, without organisation. There are spontaneous riots. There is chaos in the town centre. Huge crowds are marching to ZEC, which pretends to be the electoral body. And the police are on the warpath. They are fighting the people.
“The fight is just beginning. It will get worse.”
Referring to gunshots heard in downtown Harare, Biti said they were the work of the “crazy illegal junta led by Chiwenga,” a reference to Constantino Chiwenga, who as chief of staff of the Zimbabwe Defence Force forced President Robert Mugabe out of power in November 2017 and was then appointed vice president.
Mnangagwa is believed to be desperate to win international approval of this week’s elections so he can tap the International Monetary Fund and other sources for the large infusion of capital he needs to salvage Zimbabwe’s crippled economy.
But Biti said that “the international community is not going to be fooled by this madness. We will make sure they don’t get a cent.”
“I can’t tell you how but I can tell you we have done it before,” said Biti, who was finance minister in the MDC-Zanu PF unity government of Zimbabwe between 2009 and 2013.
Biti based his assessment that the international community would not be fooled by the election partly on the conclusion of the European Union’s election mission’s preliminary report that “a truly level playing field was not achieved” in these elections.
The mission leader, Elmar Brok, cited several reasons for this assessment, including the clear bias of the state media in favour of Zanu-PF, that party’s abuse of state resources and instances of intimidation of voters. But, as with other election missions, the EU will only comment later on the vote-counting.
Biti insisted the elections had been simply rigged, utterly rejecting the opinion of some political analysts that the MDC-Alliance had made some costly mistakes.
Perhaps worse, these analysts contend, was that the MDC opposition failed to present a united front in the elections. It is true that seven parties did, in fact, join forces and unite behind one presidential candidate. Biti, who was secretary-general in the original MDC under the late Morgan Tsvangirai, later fell out with Tsvangirai and formed his own party. But he and another disaffected former Tsvangirai ally, Welshman Ncube, were able to overcome their differences to fight Zanu-PF.
But not all. After Tsvangirai’s untimely death earlier in 2018, a vicious fight erupted in his party over who would succeed him. Chamisa won but his main rival Thokozani Khupe broke away to form her own party and to contest both the parliamentary and presidential elections.
— Doug Coltart ✊🏽🇿🇼 (@DougColtart) August 2, 2018
Biti insisted this had made no difference.
“No!,” he said.
“Our colleagues got nothing, Look at the results. Thokozani got one vote in some constituencies… It was a binary, black and white contest between the MDC-Alliance and Zanu-PF.”
Strong independent candidates also lost badly, he said.
“This was binary. It didn’t matter who you are, they voted for the MDC.”
Biti even more contemptuously dismissed the assessment of some analysts that ousted President Robert Mugabe’s rather tentative and ambiguous endorsement of Chamisa on Sunday cost the MDT-Alliance credibility and votes.
“The fact is this was just plain rigging,” he reiterated time and time again.
Where was the proof of rigging?
“We do have evidence of rigging from the V11 forms and we will issue a statement about this shortly,” he said.
ZEC calls for patience and says the constitution allows five days to verify and announce presidential results. ‘Today is the third day.’ But the question is why do they need all of that time? Observers and citizens increasingly asking that question now. #Zimbabwe
— David McKenzie (@McKenzieCNN) August 2, 2018
The V11 forms containing the results at each polling station were supposed to be posted outside each station by the ZEC. There have been widespread allegations about discrepancies in these forms, or about forms simply disappearing.
After announcing the parliamentary results on Wednesday, ZEC chairperson Priscilla Chigumba said that the ZEC would probably only be able to announce the presidential election results on Thursday because representatives of all 23 presidential candidates would have to go to ZEC headquarters in Harare to reconcile the V11 forms.
“They rigged blatantly… deliberately tampering and manipulating figures,” said Biti, quoting Stalin as having said: “It’s not the people who vote that count, it’s the people who count the votes.”
“You can rig elections, but you can’t rig legitimacy. You can rig elections, but you can’t rig the economy, you can’t rig trust and confidence. I don’t know why the state never learns.
“You can’t rig the social contract, you can’t rig decency, you can’t rig trust.”
He added that he believed the confrontation between the people and the authorities would get uglier “and they will shoot some people”.
As he was speaking, shots were heard ringing out across downtown Harare and reports were emerging that the security forces had used tear gas and even live ammunition against protesters. A number of unconfirmed deaths were reported.
Derek Matyszak, a Zimbabwe expert at the Institute for Security Studies in Pretoria, differed with Biti, suggesting, as other analysts have, that Zanu-PF had already won before the first vote was cast.
“The votes in the ballot box probably match those announced,” he said.
“So the opposition is taking to the streets in one of many violations of the Code of Conduct and giving grist to the Zanu-PF mill.
“To win the elections Chamisa had to look as if he was going to win and they did a good job of creating the impression of momentum… so good that people in Harare and Bulawayo now do not believe the results…
“People are unable to accept that, despite all the depravity of Zanu-PF, they (the people) have lost not only the battle of these elections, but the war which began in 2000. Zanu-PF has basically gotten away with it. Those who think good always triumphs over evil have a hard time swallowing that.
“Zanu has gotten away with destroying everything they have touched or come near… agriculture, mining, infrastructure, the economy as a whole and people’s lives and livelihoods.
“They have done so without any severe repercussion and grown fat on corruption… in a liberal democracy they would have been voted out of power.” DM
- Peter Fabricius is a foreign affairs journalist.