"Globally there's a commitment because the reality is that it's out there," Majola said. "I actually believe it's not an optional thing because this is not something that's just been left to governments."
Her confidence in the success of the UN talks seems surprising, given a lack of progress in many of the world's rich nations. Last week in the US midterms, a ballot to install a carbon price in Washington State failed. In Canada, Ontario province backed out of its carbon market. Coal-and-gas-rich Australia earlier this year ousted its prime minister as he attempted to beef up climate policy.
In Germany, a government-established commission that's been running this year to decide coal's fate in Europe's biggest economy could make a decision around the time of the climate talks.
"They could do it if they really wanted because if the commission does not deliver a result, the government can decide," said Franz-Josef Wodopia, the managing director of the VDKi coal importers group. "They have to think about their chance to present a result as a commission."
The industrialised West is responsible for most of the emissions that have led to climate change, but emerging countries are catching up fast. Some poorer nations argue that they shouldn't have to bear an equal amount of the cost and should still be allowed to prioritise economic growth over pollution reduction.