By Douglas Parker*
The raw information for this report is sourced from the Coronavirus Tracker on the internet made available by Worldometer. I source the data at 12pm each day, NZ time. The data all relates to the previous day.
- Results today show that the total worldwide case numbers are now: +- 5,189,000
- The percentage of people who are likely still ill from the virus totals: 5%
- The percentage of people who have recovered from the infection is: 1%
- And the total percentage of people who have died from the virus is: 4%
Countries experiencing the heaviest burden in new cases of the virus over the past 24 hours are:
Top Countries 21 May
- USA: 27,347
- Brazil: 16,730
- Russia: 8,849
- India: 6,198
- Peru: 4,749
- TOTAL 63,873 which is 61% of the world total
Trends in New cases worldwide
Total global new cases today were: +- 105,380 taking the 7 day average to around 95,370
Another increase in case numbers today, this time due to a surge of new cases in the USA. The UK reported +-2,600 new cases, with yesterday’s “zero” being a correction in total case numbers. In the Southern Hemisphere group, Australia recorded 2 new cases, South Africa a high 1,134 and New Zealand just 1.
The focus today is on trends in South Africa. Columbia is selected as a peer as it has a similar population, is at a similar stage of the pandemic cycle, and also following a slow trajectory. Columbia may have peaked, but South Africa does not show that yet. Similar sized European countries peaked at around 8,000 daily cases after about 5 weeks. South Africa is showing a longer, slower growth.
- Douglas Parker is the Managing Director of Douglas Parker Associates. There is more info on his website: http://www.douglasparker.co.za/
